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Contact: Nan Broadbent
nan0604@msn.com
408-431-9885
Seismological Society of America
Salt Lake City, Utah The greatest threat of a tsunami for the U.S. east coast from a nearby offshore earthquake stretches from the coast of New England to New Jersey, according to John Ebel of Boston College, who presented his findings today at the Seismological Society of America 2013 Annual Meeting.
The potential for an East Coast tsunami has come under greater scrutiny after a 2012 earthquake swarm that occurred offshore about 280 kilometers (170 miles) east of Boston. The largest earthquake in the 15-earthquake swarm, most of which occurred on April 12, 2012, was magnitude (M) 4.0.
In 2012 several other earthquakes were detected on the edge of the Atlantic continental shelf of North America, with magnitudes between 2 and 3.5. These quakes occurred off the coast of southern Newfoundland and south of Cape Cod, as well as in the area of the April swarm. All of these areas have experienced other earthquake activity in the past few decades prior to 2012.
The setting for these earthquakes, at the edge of the continental shelf, is similar to that of the 1929 M7.3 Grand Banks earthquake, which triggered a 10-meter tsunami along southern Newfoundland and left tens of thousands of residents homeless.
Ebel's preliminary findings suggest the possibility than an earthquake-triggered tsunami could affect the northeast coast of the U.S. The evidence he cites is the similarity in tectonic settings of the U.S. offshore earthquakes and the major Canadian earthquake in 1929. More research is necessary, says Ebel, to develop a more refined hazard assessment of the probability of a strong offshore earthquake along the northeastern U.S. coast.
###
Founded in the aftermath of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, the Seismological Society of America is an international scientific society devoted to the advancement of seismology and the understanding of earthquakes for the benefit of society. It publishes the prestigious peer-reviewed journal BSSA the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America and the bimonthly Seismological Research Letters, which serves as a general forum for informal communication among seismologists and those interested in seismology and related disciplines.
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AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert! system.
Contact: Nan Broadbent
nan0604@msn.com
408-431-9885
Seismological Society of America
Salt Lake City, Utah The greatest threat of a tsunami for the U.S. east coast from a nearby offshore earthquake stretches from the coast of New England to New Jersey, according to John Ebel of Boston College, who presented his findings today at the Seismological Society of America 2013 Annual Meeting.
The potential for an East Coast tsunami has come under greater scrutiny after a 2012 earthquake swarm that occurred offshore about 280 kilometers (170 miles) east of Boston. The largest earthquake in the 15-earthquake swarm, most of which occurred on April 12, 2012, was magnitude (M) 4.0.
In 2012 several other earthquakes were detected on the edge of the Atlantic continental shelf of North America, with magnitudes between 2 and 3.5. These quakes occurred off the coast of southern Newfoundland and south of Cape Cod, as well as in the area of the April swarm. All of these areas have experienced other earthquake activity in the past few decades prior to 2012.
The setting for these earthquakes, at the edge of the continental shelf, is similar to that of the 1929 M7.3 Grand Banks earthquake, which triggered a 10-meter tsunami along southern Newfoundland and left tens of thousands of residents homeless.
Ebel's preliminary findings suggest the possibility than an earthquake-triggered tsunami could affect the northeast coast of the U.S. The evidence he cites is the similarity in tectonic settings of the U.S. offshore earthquakes and the major Canadian earthquake in 1929. More research is necessary, says Ebel, to develop a more refined hazard assessment of the probability of a strong offshore earthquake along the northeastern U.S. coast.
###
Founded in the aftermath of the 1906 San Francisco earthquake, the Seismological Society of America is an international scientific society devoted to the advancement of seismology and the understanding of earthquakes for the benefit of society. It publishes the prestigious peer-reviewed journal BSSA the Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America and the bimonthly Seismological Research Letters, which serves as a general forum for informal communication among seismologists and those interested in seismology and related disciplines.
?
AAAS and EurekAlert! are not responsible for the accuracy of news releases posted to EurekAlert! by contributing institutions or for the use of any information through the EurekAlert! system.
Source: http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2013-04/ssoa-ctr041113.php
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By Maya Dyakina and Darya Korsunskaya
MOSCOW (Reuters) - Two senior Russian officials warned political leaders on Thursday against rushing into more spending to stimulate a struggling economy at the risk of higher inflation.
Russia's $2.1 trillion economy expanded by just 1.1 percent in the first quarter, significantly below the Kremlin's target of 5 percent, prompting President Vladimir Putin to urge the government to boost social spending and aid ebbing growth.
Officials and analysts have laid into the central bank this year for placing too much emphasis on inflation over growth and Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev has said the government will consider stimulus to avert recession.
But Elvira Nabiullina, soon to take over as head of the central bank, said that continuing the steady reduction of inflation remains the priority, while First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov said that hasty moves to boost growth by spending were wrong and dangerous.
"I am against boosting economic growth at the expense of ... inflation," Nabiullina, a 49-year-old former economy minister who will replace bank chief Sergei Ignatyev in June, said in remarks cleared for publication on Thursday.
Shuvalov, speaking at the Sberbank Investment Forum, said that the government should approach the slowing expansion of the economy judicially.
"The most important (thing) is not to descend into a discussion of any fiscal measure to tweak the situation artificially to show that our growth rate starts changing dramatically," Shuvalov said.
"Should the government do something hastily? I think that there should not be any hasty reaction, because it is erroneous and dangerous."
NO RECESSION, BUT DISSATISFACTION
The Economy Ministry warned last week that Russia risks sliding into a recession, weakening Moscow's stock markets and the rouble to multi-month lows as expectations grew that the bank will cut borrowing rates soon.
Both Nabiullina and Shuvalov said that the economy was performing below its potential, but Shuvalov said the country was not facing a recession.
"What there is, is a dissatisfaction with the pace of economic growth," he said.
"We have a ready plan of how to act in response to a severe crisis, but as long as the situation is not developing in such a way, the government should not act hastily," Shuvalov said.
Like most major emerging economies, Russia has to grow faster than its peers in the developed world to keep unemployment low and households prosperous and 1 percent growth compares to trend rates of between 5 and 10 percent over the past decade.
The central bank had argued for months that "aggregate output remains close to its potential level" to justify keeping borrowing costs steady, but it left the phrase out of its April statement while keeping rates unchanged.
Bankers say a softening of monetary policy would spur lending to industry and increase its output.
"I expect a rate cut, but not related with the arrival of a new head," German Gref, chief executive of Russia's largest bank Sberbank, said at the forum earlier in the day, adding that he sees inflation easing soon.
Russian inflation is still relatively high, at 7.1 percent in mid-April compared to the central bank's target of 6 percent by the end of 2013 and its base interest rate of 5.5 percent.
Shuvalov said that the Russian government disagreed with those who are calling for greater tolerance of inflation as a way to boost growth.
Analysts say that as with most major policy moves in Russia, the final decision is likely to lie with Putin.
"If it's a question of increasing inflation to boost growth, we don't support this discussion, we are against it," Shuvalov said.
"These are heated debates and I hope that soon, also publicly, we will be able to announce the government's final position. We will consult with the president, get it approved."
(Additional reporting by Katya Golubkova and Oksana Kobzeva; Writing by Lidia Kelly, editing by Jason Bush/Patrick Graham)
Source: http://news.yahoo.com/russian-officials-warn-against-hasty-fiscal-stimulus-174150429--business.html
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Apr. 19, 2013 ? Young people seeking help who are at high risk of developing psychosis could significantly reduce their chances of going on to develop a full-blown psychotic illness by getting early access to cognitive behavioural therapy (CBT), new research shows.
Researchers from The University of Manchester found the risk of developing psychosis was more than halved for those receiving CBT at six, 12 and 18-24 months after treatment started.
The team from the University's School of Psychological Science and the Psychosis Research Unit at Greater Manchester West Mental Health NHS Foundation Trust adds weight to earlier studies in this area.
CBT is a person-centred approach which involves helping people understand how the way they make sense of their experiences, and how they respond to them, can often determine how distressing or disabling they are. Through CBT, patients learn a range of strategies they can use to reduce their distress, allowing them to work towards a recovery which is meaningful to them. CBT for psychosis prevention places a heavy emphasis on 'normalising' and de-stigmatising experiences such as hearing voices or having paranoid thoughts.
The research team analysed previous studies which covered 800 people at high risk of developing psychosis. Patients were randomly allocated to receive either CBT or a control treatment, which was either treatment as usual or supportive counselling.
Dr Paul Hutton, who led the study which has been published in Psychological Medicine, said: "We found that the risk of developing a full-blown psychotic illness was more than halved for those receiving CBT at six, 12 and 18-24 months after treatment started.
"Our research suggests that young people seeking help who are at risk of developing psychosis should now be offered a package of care which includes at least six months of CBT.
"There was no evidence that CBT had adverse effects, although we argue future clinical trials should measure this more thoroughly. Our analysis also suggests that existing CBT approaches may need to be adapted to focus more on improving social and occupational functioning."
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Source: http://feeds.sciencedaily.com/~r/sciencedaily/~3/2ZQTfBR4qz8/130419075929.htm
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The twin bombs at the Boston Marathon killed Lu Lingzi, a 23-year-old Boston University student from China; 8-year-old spectator Martin Richard; and 29-year-old spectator Krystle Campbell. But it also injured more than 170 people: runners, couples, spectators, children. Some are in grave condition; some lost limbs or senses; all their lives will be forever touched by the bombings. Here are some of their stories.
CELESTE AND SYDNEY CORCORAN: HOLDING HANDS
Celeste Corcoran is a hairstylist on upscale Newbury Street, not far from the site of the bombing. Her daughter, Sydney, 17, is a senior at Lowell High School.
Celeste lost both legs below the knee and Sydney has severe injuries as well, cousin Alyssa Carter said in a fundraising page set up at GoFundMe.com. The page had raised more than $277,000 by Thursday morning.
Family members said Celeste was being incredibly positive. Her sister, Carmen Acabbo, told WJAR-TV that Celeste joked she "would be a hairstylist on wheels now."
Sydney has been through tough times before. She was hit by a car while crossing a street less than two years ago and fought to recover from a fractured skull, the Lowell Sun reported.
Nurses at Boston Medical Center were ultimately able to get the mother and daughter into the same hospital room.
"Their beds are pushed together," Carter wrote, "so they can hold hands."
AARON HERN: A TOUGH COOKIE
Eleven-year-old Aaron Hern was there with his father, Alan, and little sister, Abby, to cheer on his mother, Katherine, in her first Boston Marathon when the bomb went off. After initially becoming separated, Alan found his son lying injured on the ground with leg wounds.
"He was conscious. He talked to me and said, 'My leg really hurts, Daddy,' but he was being pretty brave," Alan Hern told KGO-TV.
The family is from Martinez, Calif., and Alan Hern is the Alhambra High School varsity football coach, KGO reported.
Aaron remained in critical condition at Boston Children's Hospital on Wednesday and underwent three to four hours of surgery on his leg, the hospital said.
His mother said in a note posted online by Kiwanis Club of Martinez that Aaron was trying harder and harder to communicate through a touchpad. She said it was stressful because he was starting to remember everything and getting upset.
The mother of Aaron's best friend, Katherine Chapman, told The San Francisco Chronicle that Aaron was an outgoing and fun-loving kid.
"A tough cookie, an athlete and a scholar. He gets good grades and participates in every sport and is good at everything he does. He's one of those kids that everybody loves," she said.
His 12th birthday is May 1.
PATRICK AND JESSICA DOWNES: NEWLYWEDS
Patrick and Jessica Downes married in August. According to an email sent to friends, Patrick had surgery Wednesday and is out of intensive care, while Jessica was in surgery. Both lost their left leg below the knee, and Jessica was in danger of losing her remaining foot.
Friends who set up a page at GiveForward.com to raise money for the couple's expenses said they first started dating in 2006.
Patrick graduated from Boston College and was so well-behaved in high school that he was nicknamed "Jesus." They described him as the "ultimate Boston boy."
"He has that accent that makes it impossible to tell if he's saying 'parking' or 'packing,' he's no more than two degrees of separation from Whitey Bulger (or so he claims), and he cried his eyes out when the Sox finally won the World Series," the site said.
Jessica, described as a sassy California girl, is a nurse at Massachusetts General Hospital.
"She has the spirit of a lion," the site said.
A spokesman for GiveForward.com said the page got so many hits Wednesday that it crashed.
This combination of undated file photos provided to the Associated Press shows, from left, Martin Richard, 8, Krystle Campbell, 29, and Lingzi Lu, a Boston University graduate student. Richard, ... more? This combination of undated file photos provided to the Associated Press shows, from left, Martin Richard, 8, Krystle Campbell, 29, and Lingzi Lu, a Boston University graduate student. Richard, Campbell and Lu were killed in the explosions at the finish line of the Boston Marathon Monday, April 15, 2013, in Boston. (AP Photo/File) less?JARROD CLOWERY: 'GET INTO THE STREET'
Jarrod Clowery and his friends were cheering on spectators when he heard the first explosion.
"I got this feeling that we need to get into the street," Clowery said.
Clowery, 35, a carpenter, hopped over one of the metal barricades that separates spectators on the sidewalk from runners on the course when the second blast went off behind him.
"Because I was elevated on the railing, I think I avoided major, major injury," Clowery said, adding that his friends were injured much more severely.
Clowery said his hearing was diminished by about 85 percent. He has shrapnel embedded in the back of his leg and suffered flash burns.
"The Lord was watching over me, somebody was watching over me," Clowery said. "And I feel very blessed."
JOHN ODOM: CHEERING HIS DAUGHTER
John Odom's daughter, Nicole Reis, was running the marathon as a member of the New England Patriots Charitable Foundation Marathon team, and he was there to support her. Her husband, Matt Reis, is the goalie for Major League Soccer's New England Revolution.
Odom was around 10 feet away from the first bomb when it went off, Matt Reis told reporters at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough on Wednesday, where he visited to thank teammates for their support. Odom remained in critical condition and had undergone three surgeries in about 40 hours, he said.
"He hasn't really stabilized yet, and we're still hoping," he said. "He is progressing a little bit, but we're talking about footsteps here and not very big strides."
HEATHER ABBOTT: BEST FRIEND TURNED, FOUND HER GONE
Heather Abbott, of Newport, R.I., was entering a bar with friends as the bomb went off. Her best friend, Jason Geremia, told WJAR-TV that everyone ran out the back. Once he got there, he realized Abbott wasn't with him. He turned to go back when he saw a bouncer carrying her down the stairs.
"I said, 'Give her to me. Give her to me.' And he was like, 'Do you know her?' I said, 'Yes, yes. That's my best friend.' I said, 'Give her to me.' He said, 'No, no, no. Look at her leg.' It was very tough to see that."
Her leg was severely injured. Another friend took off his belt, and they used it as a tourniquet.
Geremia spent much of Monday and Tuesday at the hospital, along with Abbott's parents, who are from Lincoln, R.I.
"It's very, very hard to see her," Geremia said.
THE WHITE FAMILY: FRIENDS COME TOGETHER TO HELP PAY FAMILY'S MEDICAL BILLS
Kevin White says the toughest part of being injured in the Boston Marathon bombing was not being able to find his parents.
White, 35, who lives in Boston and Chicago, suffered shrapnel injuries. His mother, Mary Jo, broke several bones, and his father, Bill, had his right foot amputated. They had just left a restaurant when the bomb exploded about 10 feet away.
White, who was released from Boston Medical Center on Wednesday, says he's looking forward to reuniting with his parents, who were sent to another hospital.
Some close family friends have an online fundraising drive to help the White family pay some of the hefty medical bills they are expected to confront during the months.
The initiative had generated more than $18,400 by late Wednesday, reaching in two days nearly its original goal of raising $20,000 in a month.
White said his family is very grateful but urged well-wishers to also donate to The One Fund Boston, the charity established to help all families affected by the bombings.
Source: http://news.yahoo.com/stories-casualties-boston-marathon-bombing-070824060.html
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Teenagers who increased the days on which they got just 20 minutes of exercise were able to cut down on their smoking habit.
And teenage smokers were more likely to quit altogether if they participated in a smoking cessation/fitness program?and they ramped up the days on which they got at least 30 minutes of physical activity, according to a study published online April 9.
?This study adds to evidence suggesting that exercise can help teenagers who are trying to quit smoking,? says lead author Kimberly Horn, EdD, the Associate Dean for Research at the George Washington University School of Public Health and Health Services (SPHHS). ?Teens who boosted the number of days on which they engaged in at least 20 minutes of exercise, equivalent to a short walk, were more likely than their peers to resist lighting up a cigarette.?
Horn and her colleagues tracked 233 teenagers from 19 high schools in West Virginia, a state with among the highest smoking rates in the nation. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, which funded this study, says that nearly 13 percent of West Virginia residents under the age of 18 are current smokers.
The participants in the study were daily smokers with other risky behaviors. ?It is not unusual for teenage smokers to engage in other unhealthy habits,? Horn said. ?Smoking and physical inactivity?for instance?often go hand in hand.? The average teenager in the study smoked a half a pack on weekdays and a whopping pack a day on the weekends. A previous study of the same group compared three types of programs aimed at getting the participants to stop or cut down on smoking. That study found that an intensive smoking cessation intervention combined with a fitness program was the most successful way to help teenagers quit.
In the current study, Horn?s team looked to see if an increase in physical activity would help teens quit regardless of the type of intervention. In this study, as in the previous one, some teenagers went through an intensive anti-smoking program combined with a fitness intervention while others just got the smoking cessation program and still others listened to a short anti-smoking lecture.
Horn found that all of the teens increased their exercise activity to some degree?just by virtue of being in the study. However, teens who reported increasing the number of days in which they got just 20 minutes a day of exercise were able to significantly cut back on the cigarettes they smoked.
Horn?s previous study showed that the most powerful way for teens to quit smoking was if they participated in a program called Not-On-Tobacco; it was even more powerful for boys with an added fitness component. The researchers believe that the 20-minute threshold for changing smoking behavior deserves further study.
Certainly, the study has limitations, says Horn. ?We don?t fully understand the clinical relevance of ramping up daily activity to 20 or 30 minutes a day with these teens. But we do know that even modest improvements in exercise may have health benefits. Our study supports the idea that encouraging one healthy behavior can serve to promote another, and it shows that teens, often viewed as resistant to behavior change, can tackle two health behaviors at once.?
Additional research must confirm the key findings and prove that they apply to all teen smokers and not just those in West Virginia, Horn says. And researchers still do not know the mechanism that might explain the findings. However, she says that physical activity is known to spur the release of the body?s feel-good chemicals called endorphins. One possible explanation is that those substances might help teen smokers better deal with the cravings or weather the withdrawal symptoms that often lead to relapse, she said.
Source: http://scienceblog.com/62198/short-daily-walk-might-help-teen-smokers-quit/
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